Udinese head into the penultimate round in solid shape, sitting 10th and having taken 10 points from their last five league games, including impressive wins over AC Milan, Torino and Cagliari. Cremonese arrive under real pressure, one point from safety and still fighting relegation, but their away record is a major concern: they have lost eight of their last nine on the road in 2026 and have struggled for goals. Udinese are missing Kingsley Ehizibue through suspension, while Jurgen Ekkelenkamp and Alessandro Zanoli remain out.
The numbers point to Udinese being the likelier result, even if the market is not making them overwhelming favourites. Their home edge, better defensive profile and stronger form table position give them around a 50% chance of winning, with the draw also live in a low-margin contest. Cremonese's survival motivation could keep this competitive, but their 0.8 goals per game and poor away output make an upset less appealing. The best angle is Udinese or draw, with a controlled home performance the most probable script.
Pinnacle's 2.53 on Udinese, 3.26 on the draw and 3.08 on Cremonese suggests a fairly open market, but the double chance on Udinese or draw remains the safest value line given the underlying data. For goals, Under 2.5 is priced at 1.76 and looks more attractive than Over 2.5 at 2.14 because both sides average just 2.1 combined goals per game and Udinese have recently tightened up at the back. A 2-0 or 1-0 home win fits the pricing and the form trends best.
投注提示
- Double chance: Udinese or draw — Udinese have the stronger form and Cremonese have lost eight of their last nine away matches in 2026
- Under 2.5 Goals — Udinese and Cremonese combine for just 2.1 goals per game on average
- Udinese to win to nil — Udinese have 11 clean sheets and Cremonese average only 0.8 goals scored per match