Everton vs Sunderland - Premier League Preview

Everton close out their first season at the Hill Dickinson Stadium with a game that still carries a faint European edge, but form has been patchy: just two wins in their last 11 home league matches and five straight games conceding. Sunderland arrive level-ish in the table and with a strong clean-sheet record, but their away numbers remain modest, with only four wins on the road all season. Everton are without Jack Grealish and Jarrad Branthwaite, while Idrissa Gueye is a doubt.

The market makes this close, and the numbers back that up: Everton are 45% to win, with the draw also rated at 45%, leaving Sunderland on just 10%. That makes the Toffees' double chance the safest angle, especially with home advantage and the historical edge in this fixture. Sunderland's defensive structure gives them a chance, but Everton have more attacking momentum through Beto, who has scored five in his last five league appearances.

Pinnacle price Everton at 1.90, the draw at 3.77 and Sunderland at 4.21, which leaves a small but real case for Everton or draw rather than forcing a straight home win. In the goals market, Over 2.5 is 1.82 and Under 2.5 is 2.07, so the total is finely balanced. Given Everton's recent scoring run and Sunderland's clean-sheet profile, BTTS also has appeal if you want a slightly higher-risk value pick.