Levante and Mallorca meet in a huge relegation six-pointer with both clubs level on 39 points and everything still to play for. Levante have found form at the right time, winning four of their last six league games and four straight at home, while Mallorca arrive after a 3-1 defeat to Getafe and with just one win in five. Injuries and suspensions matter too: Levante remain without Carlos Alvarez and Unai Elgezabal, while Mallorca are missing several defenders and Omar Mascarell is suspended.
The numbers point to a very even contest, but Levante have a slight edge thanks to home form and momentum. Our win probabilities are 45% for Levante, 45% for the draw and 10% for Mallorca, which supports the double chance on Levante or draw. Mallorca's away record is a major concern, and they have struggled to keep games tight on the road. Levante's recent comeback wins also suggest they can handle pressure better, especially with survival on the line.
Pinnacle price Levante at 2.15, the draw at 3.46 and Mallorca at 3.58, which broadly matches the market's view of a close game. Over 2.5 goals is 1.90 and Under 2.5 is 1.99, so the totals market is effectively split, but Levante's stronger home trend and Mallorca's defensive absences make the hosts the more interesting side. Value leans toward Levante or draw, with Levante to score over 1.5 goals also looking live if Mallorca's away issues continue.
ベッティングのヒント
- Double chance: Levante or draw — Levante are unbeaten in many recent home games and our model gives them a 90% chance of avoiding defeat
- Levante to score over 1.5 goals — Mallorca have conceded 2+ goals in eight of their last nine away league games
- Over 2.5 Goals — Levante average 1.2 goals for and 1.6 against, while Mallorca average 1.2 for and 1.5 against