Osasuna host Sevilla at El Sadar in a game that matters for both ends of the table: the hosts are chasing a late push into Europe, while Sevilla are looking nervously over their shoulder near the relegation zone. Osasuna’s home form is their biggest asset, with no defeats in nine straight at home and a solid defensive base. Sevilla arrive in poor shape, having lost four of their last five, and they remain without Marcao, while Cesar Azpilicueta is still a doubt.
The numbers point to a very even contest, but Osasuna should have the edge on home turf. The win probabilities are split 45% for Osasuna, 45% for the draw and just 10% for Sevilla, which makes the double chance on Osasuna or draw the safest angle. Osasuna’s stronger home record and better defensive balance should help them control long spells, while Sevilla’s recent away struggles and low confidence make an upset less likely.
Pinnacle price Osasuna at 1.96, the draw at 3.55 and Sevilla at 4.23, which broadly matches the market view that the home side are slight favourites but not dominant. In goals markets, Over 2.5 is 2.22 and Under 2.5 is 1.72, so the book leans toward a tighter game. The best value looks to be Osasuna or draw in the double chance market, while Under 2.5 also appeals given the recent H2H trend and Sevilla’s attacking inconsistency.
ベッティングのヒント
- Double chance: Osasuna or draw — Osasuna are unbeaten in nine straight home matches and Sevilla have lost four of their last five
- Under 2.5 Goals — Pinnacle prices it at 1.72, with the last five H2Hs producing fewer than three goals