Bologna close the season in decent form but with little left to play for after sealing eighth place, while Inter arrive as champions with a domestic double already secured. The visitors still have the stronger numbers across attack and defence, averaging 2.3 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded per game. Bologna have been solid rather than spectacular at 1.2 goals for and against, but injuries to Casale, Vitik, Cambiaghi and Orsolini reduce their upside, even with Lucumi back available.
The market and the model both lean Inter, with away win probability set at 45% and Bologna only 10%, though the draw is also live at 45% because of end-of-season rotation risk. Inter's superiority in chance creation and defensive control should matter most if they field a near-strong XI, but Bologna's recent home record against this opponent and their improved finishing to the campaign keep this from being a simple away banker. The most likely outcome remains Inter edging it or avoiding defeat in a tight game.
Pinnacle make Inter 1.97 for the win, compared with 3.90 on Bologna and 3.78 on the draw, which still leaves the away side as the clear favourite. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.66, suggesting the market expects Inter's attack to carry the game, but the draw odds also reflect the possibility of a flatter final-day tempo. The best value leans toward Inter to win, while Over 2.5 and Inter-draw combinations are more aggressive options if you expect Bologna to contribute at home.
投注提示
- Inter Win — stronger attack, better defence, and 45% away win probability
- Over 2.5 Goals — Inter average 2.3 goals per game and Bologna average 2.4 total goals in matches involving them
- Both Teams to Score — Bologna have scored regularly at home and Inter have failed to keep a clean sheet in recent H2Hs