Premier League: daily reports, match previews and expert picks.
337 articles
Crystal Palace are marginally favoured against Newcastle in the Premier League, with a 35% win chance and 35% draw probability.
Brighton are model favourites at 45% against Liverpool in the Premier League, with the draw also rated at 45%.
Manchester United vs Bournemouth: the Premier League model gives United and the draw a 45% probability each.
Aston Villa beat Manchester City 2-1 as Arsenal moved level with City at the Premier League summit on October 24.
Expert
Alex Ingram
Alex Ingram backs Chelsea to beat Tottenham with medium confidence in their Premier League London derby.
Expert
Thomas Reid
Thomas Reid backs a low-confidence draw between Arsenal and Everton in the Premier League, citing a 45% model probability.
Expert
Alex Ingram
Alex Ingram backs Manchester City with medium confidence against Aston Villa in the Premier League, despite Villa’s recent head-to-head edge.
Chelsea are modelled to beat Tottenham in the Premier League, while the draw and Under 3.5 goals offer the strongest betting value.
Coventry are model-backed at 45% against Fulham in the Premier League, with a 90% home-or-draw probability.
Arsenal are favoured at 45% against Everton in the Premier League, but the draw is the clearest value angle at 4.59.
Manchester City are model favourites against Aston Villa in the Premier League, but the draw at 4.49 is rated the clearest value angle.
Premier League clubs could pay up to £1.8m a season towards the Independent Football Regulator from 2027-28.
Expert
Thomas Reid
Thomas Reid backs a low-confidence draw in Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest, with the model giving the stalemate a 45% probability.
Nottingham Forest are model favourites against Ipswich in the Premier League, with the draw offering the clearest value at 3.50.
Manchester City appeal a guilty verdict as Premier League sanctions remain undecided, while Manchester United’s crisis deepens after a 4-1 loss to Como.
